New Delhi. The new year has begun and investors in the stock market are eager to understand its possible trends. Most brokerage firms feel that the market will give good returns in January. However, analysis of past performance shows that there has been more selling pressure in the market in the month of January. In the last 10 years, Nifty has performed negatively seven times in the month of January. The main reason for this is the heavy selling done by foreign institutional investors (FIIs). Nifty's average return during this period was only 0.38%.

Today we will tell you about the returns given by the stock market in January in the last 10 years. Although no one can say with certainty which way the market will turn, but an attempt can definitely be made to estimate the future performance based on the past performance.

Positive Performance
2015: Gain of 6.35%
2017: Gain of 4.59%
2018: Gain of 4.72%

Negative performance

2016: Biggest fall of 4.82%
2021: Decline of 2.48%
In 2019, 2020, 2022, 2023 and 2024, Nifty closed with a decline between 0.03% to 2.45%.

Role of FIIs and DIIs
In the last three years, FIIs made huge withdrawals from the Indian Stock Market in the month of January:

2022: ₹33,303 crore
2023: ₹28,852 crore
2024: ₹25,744 crore

FIIs' interest has been mixed in the past years

Purchases
2015: ₹12,919 crore
2020: ₹12,123 crore
2021: ₹19,473 crore

Sell-off
2016: ₹11,126 crore
2017: ₹1,177 crore
2019: ₹4,262 crore

DIIs' performance remained relatively stable. They bought 7 times and sold 3 times

2023: Purchases worth ₹33,412 crore
2024: Investment worth ₹26,744 crore
2022: Investment worth ₹21,928 crore

Year of sale
2015: -₹7,882 crore
2020: -₹1,567 crore
2021: -₹11,971 crore

2025 Prospects
According to brokerage firm Nuvama, the market is likely to remain cool in the month of January. Nifty may find it difficult to cross the 24,350 level, and without strong participation from FIIs, it will remain in a 'sell-on-rally' trend. Looking at the historical data of January, investors should be prepared for market volatility. It will be important to keep an eye on the activities of FIIs and DIIs and adopt a long-term investment approach.