Exit Poll Analysis: After the good success of India Alliance in the last Lok Sabha elections, the influence of this alliance is again visible in the assembly elections held in two states Haryana and Jammu and Kashmir. This is not being told by us but the results of the exit polls released on Saturday. In the exit poll results, the National Conference and Congress alliance is seen as close to the majority in Jammu and Kashmir. Whereas in Haryana, the Congress party is seen to achieve a big victory on its own.

If the exit poll results turn out to be true, then it will definitely have deep political implications. Especially for Congress leader Rahul Gandhi. Rahul Gandhi is currently the leader of the opposition in the Lok Sabha. This will probably be the first time in Rahul Gandhi's politics of the last two decades that the Congress party is continuously moving towards a big victory.

According to the exit poll of C-Voter, the National Conference-Congress can get 40-48 seats in Jammu and Kashmir. BJP can get 27 to 32 seats. While PDP is likely to get 6-12 seats and others 6-11 seats. Here PDP-Congress is definitely close to a majority. If it remains away from the majority then it is possible that it may get the support of PDP. On the other hand, BJP and others, which include a large number of BJP-supported independents, are getting 40+ seats.

Congress's return in North India
Now let's talk about Haryana. Congress party seems to be winning 55 to 62 seats in Haryana's 90-member assembly. This will be called a very big victory for them. This will definitely give the party power in a relatively big state on its own in North India. Currently, in North India, it is in power only in Himachal Pradesh. If Congress forms government in Haryana, it will be in power on its own in three states. Congress is in power in Karnataka.

Rahul Gandhi's stature will increase.
If the exit polls turn into actual results, then it will definitely be a big victory for Rahul Gandhi and his team. Rahul Gandhi has been continuously aggressive since the Lok Sabha election results. He brought back the big Dalit leader Ashok Tanwar to the party a few hours before the voting in Haryana. Ashok Tanwar is the same leader who left the Congress a few months before the 2019 assembly elections after being removed from the post of president. He was in the fray against Kumari Selja on a BJP ticket in the last Lok Sabha elections.

He has been a leader of the Rahul camp from the beginning, apart from the Hooda camp and the Selja camp in the state. But, due to Rahul Gandhi's weakening as the high command and differences with Hooda, Ashok Tanwar had to leave the Congress. But, after the results of the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, Rahul Gandhi is not the Rahul Gandhi of 2019. Despite all the efforts of the Hooda camp, Rahul Gandhi's team maintained its hold in the Haryana elections. If the exit polls prove to be correct, then Rahul Gandhi's influence will definitely be seen in the formation of government in Haryana.

Victory not a fluke
Apart from this, if the exit polls of both the states prove to be correct, then it will also prove that the decrease in BJP's seats and the spectacular increase in the seats of India Alliance in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections was not a fluke. Rather, this will prove that the public is now getting disillusioned with the NDA at the national as well as state level. They have now started looking for alternatives.

Impact on Maharashtra and Jharkhand
If the exit polls prove to be correct, then its biggest impact can be seen in Maharashtra. The NDA government in Maharashtra had to face a bad defeat in the last Lok Sabha. If the exit polls turn into actual results, then the opposition All India Alliance will become more aggressive in Maharashtra. On the other hand, after the Lok Sabha defeat, the enthusiasm of NDA leaders and workers will weaken.